Building tools to make sense of the future
AI Digest
Interactive explainers on AI capabilities and their effects
AI 2025 Forecasting Survey
Record your predictions for AI capabilities at the end of 2025
New
Beyond Chat: AI Agent Demo
Watch an AI agent send emails and shop online in real-time
AI Can or Can't
Quiz yourself on what today's AI can and can't do
Timeline of AI forecasts
What to expect in AI capabilities, potential harms, and society's response
How can AI disrupt elections?
Talk to an interactive demo of AI capabilities for voter fraud
Compare frontier AI models
ChatGPT, Claude 3, and Gemini Ultra answer the same questions
How fast is AI improving?
A visual explainer on the rate and risks of LLM progress
Fatebook
The fastest way to track your predictions
Quantified Intuitions
Practice assigning credences to outcomes with a quick feedback loop