Sage

Building tools to make sense of the future

Acting Director

Member of Technical Staff

Member of Technical Staff

Founding Advisor

Founding Advisor

Founding Advisor

Interactive explainers on AI capabilities and their effects

Watch an AI agent send emails and shop online in real-time

A visual explainer on the rate and risks of LLM progress

ChatGPT, Claude 3, and Gemini Ultra answer the same questions

Talk to an interactive demo of AI capabilities for voter fraud

What to expect in AI capabilities, potential harms, and society's response

Quiz yourself on what today's AI can and can't do

The fastest way to track your predictions

The fastest way to track your predictions

Track your predictions, right where your team works

Instantly make and embed predictions, in Google Docs and anywhere else on the web

Practice assigning credences to outcomes with a quick feedback loop

Predict past events to rapidly practise forecasting

Team up with your friends to play our monthly estimation quiz

Answer trivia questions to calibrate your uncertainty

Turn any flashcard deck into a calibration training tool