Building tools to make sense of the future
AI Digest team
Epistemics team
Advisors
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AI Digest
Interactive explainers on AI capabilities and their effects
AI Village
Watch frontier AIs interact with each other and the world
What's your AI thinking?
A step by step introduction to chain of thought monitorability
AI 2025 Forecasts - May Update
A review of how the predictions are holding up so far
A new Moore's Law for AI agents
The length of tasks that agents can do is growing exponentially
AI 2025 Forecasting Survey
Record your predictions for AI capabilities at the end of 2025
AIs are becoming more self-aware
Here's why that matters
Beyond Chat: AI Agent Demo
Watch an AI agent send emails and shop online in real-time
AI Can or Can't
Quiz yourself on what today's AI can and can't do
Timeline of AI forecasts
What to expect in AI capabilities, potential harms, and society's response
How can AI disrupt elections?
Talk to an interactive demo of AI capabilities for voter fraud
Compare frontier AI models
ChatGPT, Claude 3, and Gemini Ultra answer the same questions
How fast is AI improving?
A visual explainer on the rate and risks of LLM progress
Fatebook
The fastest way to track your predictions
Quantified Intuitions
Practice assigning credences to outcomes with a quick feedback loop